Control - Management solutions - Inzhekon (21)

Exercise 1 Identification of possible causes of the problem with the help of charts and maps Isiakavy opinions
Exercise 2 survey solutions under certainty
Exercise 3.Obosnovanie decisions under risk.
Investment Division instructed to put a significant amount of money for a year in one of three alternatives: bonds, shares or deposits. The economic situation in the country is characterized by uncertainty, with the following possible states: growth, stagnation or inflation. With the help of experts to determine the probability of different states of the economy and the yield of the securities. It is necessary to justify the decision of the department of investments using decision tables and decision tree.
Exercise 4. Rationale for decisions under risk (Bank 1)
The client asked the bank to issue a loan for a year in the amount of A thousand. Bank may give him the money in a% per annum. From past experience we know that C% of these customers do not return the loan.
Alternatively, the bank may invest A thousand. Rub. in dealing with 100% return, but with a yield of D per cent ready.
Exercise 5.Obosnovanie decisions under risk (Bank 2)
The client asked the bank to issue a loan for a year in the amount of A thousand. Bank may give him the money in a% per annum. From past experience we know that C% of these customers do not return the loan. At the same time, to verify the solvency of the client, you can seek the services of an audit firm. The company takes for each check 800 rubles. to verify the correctness of the recommendations issued by the auditing firm, the bank received information about thousands of people who have been verified by the company and that then, irrespective of the recommendations issued loans.
Alternatively, the bank may invest A thousand. Rub. in dealing with a 100% guarantee of the return, but with a yield of D per cent ready.
Exercise 6. Justification decisions under uncertainty.
The marketing department for the development of software products submitted to the management data on the expected volume of sales of a new product at three different prices.
Fixed costs are 40 thousand. CU
Variable costs 4 per unit of production
It is necessary to determine the most appropriate price through the use of rules maximax, maximin and minimax
Exercise 7 Development of the job description engineer for repair
Exercise 8. Decision on the implementation of the investment project.
1. Define the possible gain separation And by installing alarm trending method.
and give a prize for future years at the time of the decision by the discount (discount rate equal to the interest rate will take 11%)
2. Calculate the listed capital expenditures and current.
3. A comparison of the predicted potential payoff from cost, to draw conclusions about the expediency of the decision to install alarm systems in department offices A.