# Rear. rab.Fin.sreda predpr Islands and predpr.riski (Tasks)

Sold: 6 last one 10.04.2016
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Content: zadachi_fps_i_pr.rar 18,11 kB
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# Description

Target 11.
According to five independent experts, there are subjective probability that the project will bring revenue Q, with probability p. These are placed in the table.
Qmln.rub 10 15 12 14 14 16
P (variant for m = 3) 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.2
Identify the characteristics of the project - expected average income and risk (standard deviation) of non-receipt of the expected amount.

According to five independent experts, the project will bring revenue Q, with probability p. These are placed in the table.
Q (mln) 10 11 12 14 15
P (Embodiment m = 4) 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Define:
- The riskiness of the project - expected average income and the risk of not getting the expected amount.
- What is the maximum and the minimum income to be expected with a confidence level of Rzad = 0,683 (t = 1). If the risk of innovation.
- What the expected revenue will be obtained if an independent reason for the project will be delayed for a year. The discount rate is 12%.
1. Identify the characteristics of the project - expected average income and risk (standard deviation) shortfall in the expected amount
2. What is the maximum and the minimum income to be expected with a given confidence level Rzad = 0.683, if the risk of an innovative .:
3. What is the expected return will be received if the reasons for an independent project under the same conditions will be delayed for a year

Objective 2.
Prepared for the implementation of several innovative projects that have brought to the management for consideration. For each of the projects set implementation costs and profits obtained from each of them. Timeframes for the project are the same and are not essential, they must be implemented without delay and at the same time.
The total volume of financial resources and limited company is R = 90 ppm. There are two possibilities for the implementation of projects to take credit for 30% of the loan amount, or put the money on deposit for 20% of the deposit. To determine: how much you need: take out a loan or to deposit to get the maximum profit from the sale of any number of proposed projects. Determine the size of the profits, timing of projects are the same and they do not take into account.

Name of project costs (ppm) Profit (mln.)
Proekt№3 P3 PR3

Target 15.
For each percent (%) fulfillment of the plan relies prize - Award (thous. Rub.), And for each percentage underperformance earnings decreased fines (thous. Rub.), But no more than 100 000 rubles. Find the expected amount of the premium if a probabilistic forecast of the plan is that (P - probability):
% 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 110
F 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.02 0.08 0.04

Title
options overfulfilled
Award (thous. Rubles) narrowly missed
Fine (thous. Rubles)
Option 3 50 m = 25
What is the expected size of the premium, if you know that the plan is executed?